Trade Resources Industry Views The Solar PV Industry Is Set for Rapid Growth Over The Next Five Years

The Solar PV Industry Is Set for Rapid Growth Over The Next Five Years

The solar photovoltaic (PV) industry is set for rapid growth over the next five years, with up to 100GW annual deployment being targeted in 2018, according to Solarbuzz. This end-market growth is projected to increase annual PV module revenues, which are forecast to reach US$50 billion in 2018.

Despite being severely hampered by overcapacity and declining operating margins during 2012 and 2013, the PV industry still grew 34% over this two-year period. Having grown to more than 37GW of end-market demand in 2013, the global solar PV industry is now set to hit a new milestone in 2018, reaching a cumulative installed capacity level of 500MW. This strong demand will also further stimulate revenues for the industry's manufacturers, with PV module revenues of more than US$200 billion available over the five-year period from 2014-2018.

"Solar PV module prices declined faster than the end-market grew in 2012, leading to a dramatic decline in revenues," said Michael Barker, senior analyst at Solarbuzz. "This imbalance was corrected during 2013. Over the next five years, end-market growth will exceed forecasted price declines, resulting in a strong rebound in module revenues."

From a technology standpoint, crystalline silicon (c-Si) based modules are forecast to increase market share over the competing thin-film variants. Between 2014-2018, 91% of solar PV modules produced are forecast to be c-Si types, the firm said.

PV module average selling prices (ASPs) are expected to decline moderately over the next few years and are forecast to reach US$0.51 per watt in 2018. In addition, system prices will decline each year, driven mainly by cost reductions in balance-of-systems components and economies-of-scale improvements enabled by project developers and installers, added Solarbuzz.

"Solar PV suppliers are benefiting from a less volatile pricing environment, compared to previous years," said Finlay Colville, VP of Solarbuzz. "The industry will soon transition to a phase of profitable growth, with solar PV competing directly with traditional forms of energy."

Source: http://www.digitimes.com/news/a20140320PR202.html
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