Polished diamond prices remained under pressure in February. Sentiment improved ahead of the Hong Kong International Diamond, Gem and Pearl Show taking place from March 2 to 6 but trading volume was low and liquidity tight in the manufacturing centers. Buyers lacked confidence to make large inventory purchases and limited their buying to fill existing orders.
The RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI™) for 1-carat laboratory-graded diamonds rose 1 percent in February. RAPI for 0.30-carat diamonds declined 1.3 percent, while RAPI for 0.50-carat diamonds fell 1.4 percent. RAPI for 3-carat diamonds dropped by 0.5 percent during the month.
According to the Rapaport Monthly Report – March 2015, “Struggling to Profit,” polished prices softened and there was uncertainty amid concern that the market had not yet bottomed out.
Geopolitical developments added to the uncertainty. Russian and Middle East demand slumped along with the ruble and oil prices. Chinese demand for large diamonds also weakened due to the government’s campaign against corruption and conspicuous consumption. Diamantaires looked to the U.S. for support where there was good demand for SI-I2 clarity diamonds.
Jewelry sales during the Chinese New Year Spring Festival were mixed with soft demand for high-end products and steady sales of commercial-quality diamond jewelry. Chow Tai Fook reported that its same-store sales of gem-set jewelry in Mainland China rose 62 percent during the season. Hong Kong and Macau sales were very weak with same-store gem-set jewelry sales declining 17%.
The continued growth of China’s middle income population is supporting demand for under the carat, G-J, SI diamonds at the Hong Kong show, while large diamonds above 3 carats are not liquid at current price levels.
Rough trading improved slightly but overall rough demand is cautious as manufacturers struggle to profit. De Beers dropped rough prices by about 2 percent – not enough to restore reasonable profitability. Manufacturers have reduced polished production by approximately 30 percent in volume and 50 percent in value, tightening the supply of laboratory-graded diamonds. Traders hope that shortages will stabilize the market.
“Indian diamond manufacturers are under unacceptable stress as high rough prices and weak polished demand have destroyed their liquidity and profitability. Cutters are running out of money. Dealer trading volume is plummeting. If traders can’t sell, they can’t buy,” said Martin Rapaport
