Trade Resources Industry Views Adidas Fourth-Quarter Loss Narrows, Offers Bullish Outlook

Adidas Fourth-Quarter Loss Narrows, Offers Bullish Outlook

Adidas Group reported a narrower loss in the fourth quarter as gross margins expanded and currency-neutral sales jumped 12 percent, driven by accelerated momentum at both Adidas and Reebok. On a currency-neutral basis, sales grew 16 percent at the Adidas brand and 5 percent at Reebok. The company also predicted growth of 10 to 12 percent on a currency-neutral basis in 2016.

Major developments in Q4 2015

Currency-neutral Group sales increase 12 percentAccelerating momentum at both Adidas (+16 percent) and Reebok (+5 percent)Gross margin improves 2.3pp to 47.2 percentMajor developments in FY 2015

Group sales increase 10 percent on a currency-neutral basisStrong growth at Adidas (+12 percent) and Reebok (+6 percent)Gross margin climbs 0.6 percentage points to 48.3 percentUnderlying net income increases 12 percent to €720 millionManagement to propose a dividend of €1.60 per shareOutlook:

Currency-neutral Group sales to increase between 10 percent and 12 percentOperating margin to remain at least stable versus the prior year levelNet income to increase between 10 percent and 12 percent to around €800 millionAdidas Group currency-neutral sales increase 12 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015

In the fourth quarter of 2015, the Adidas Group maintained its strong top-line momentum from the previous quarter, with currency-neutral sales up 12 percent, driven by accelerated momentum at both Adidas and Reebok. In euro terms, Group revenues grew 15 percent to €4.167 billion in the fourth quarter of 2015 from €3.610 billion in 2014. Currency-neutral Adidas revenues grew 16 percent, with continued double-digit sales increases in most markets including Greater China. The brand’s performance was particularly strong in Western Europe and North America, with currency-neutral sales accelerating, up 31 percent and 12 percent, respectively. Currency-neutral Reebok sales were up 5 percent versus the prior year. This development was supported by double-digit sales increases in Western Europe, Latin America and MEAA as well as strong growth in Greater China, where revenues once again more than doubled during the quarter. Revenues at TaylorMade-Adidas Golf declined 15 percent currency-neutral, as ongoing structural challenges in the golf market as well as the further execution of TaylorMade-Adidas Golf’s restructuring programme aimed at resizing the golf business weighed on the performance during the quarter.

Said Herbert Hainer, Adidas Group CEO, "2015 was a very successful year for the Adidas Group. We reached all of our major financial goals and exceeded our initial top- and bottom-line targets. Our 2015 performance is a picture-perfect example of a successful comeback in sport. As a Group, today we are stronger and in better shape than ever before."

Double-digit growth in Western Europe, Greater China, Latin America and MEAA

From a segmental perspective, combined currency-neutral sales of the Adidas and Reebok brands in the fourth quarter of 2015 continued to show particularly strong growth in Western Europe, Greater China, Latin America and MEAA, with revenues up at double-digit rates each. Currency-neutral sales in Western Europe increased 30 percent in the fourth quarter, with double-digit sales growth in the UK, Germany, Italy, France and Spain. North America and Greater China saw strong improvements during the fourth quarter, with currency-neutral revenues up 8 percent and 16 percent, respectively. Russia/CIS sales in the fourth quarter decreased 16 percent currency-neutral. Currency-neutral sales in Latin America were up 12 percent in the fourth quarter, driven by double-digit sales growth in Colombia, Argentina, Peru and Mexico. Japan sales in the fourth quarter decreased 4 percent currency-neutral. Currency-neutral sales in MEAA increased 17 percent in the fourth quarter, mainly due to double-digit sales growth in South Korea, the United Arab Emirates, India, Turkey and South Africa.

Currency-neutral sales for Other Businesses declined 3 percent in the fourth quarter as double-digit sales growth at Other centrally managed business was more than offset by the double-digit decrease at TaylorMade-Adidas Golf and a slight decline at Reebok-CCM Hockey.

Gross margin increases 2.3 percentage points in the fourth quarter

The Group’s gross profit increased 21 percent to €1.966 billion (2014: €1.621 billion) in the fourth quarter. The Group’s gross margin increased 2.3pp to 47.2 percent from 44.9 percent in the prior year. Negative currency effects and higher input costs were more than offset by the positive effects from a more favourable pricing, channel and product mix.

Goodwill impairment in an amount of €16 million in Q4

The financial year 2015 was impacted by non-operational goodwill impairment losses totalling €34 million (2014: €78 million), mainly related to the company’s Russia/CIS and Latin America cash-generating units. Of this total, €16 million occurred in the fourth quarter. The impairment losses in both years were non-cash in nature and do not affect the Adidas Group’s liquidity.

Other operating expenses grow driven by significantly higher marketing investments

During the fourth quarter, the Group took advantage of the strong brand momentum and further increased its point-of-sale and marketing investments by 31 percent compared to the prior year period to spur revenue growth in 2016 and drive long-term brand desire. As a result, other operating expenses increased 23 percent to €2.024 billion (2014: €1.642 billion) and, as a percentage of sales, grew 3.1pp to 48.6 percent (2014: 45.5 percent). The increase also reflects higher operating overhead costs, which grew 20 percent, partly due to the restructuring programme at TaylorMade-Adidas Golf, which was continued during the fourth quarter.

Planned increase in other operating expenses weighs on operating profit

Due to the planned increase in other operating expenses, which more than offset the  positive effects from the higher gross margin, the Group recorded an operating loss of €7 million in the fourth quarter of 2015, excluding goodwill impairment losses (2014: operating profit of €38 million). This reflects a negative operating margin of 0.2 percent (2014: positive operating margin of 1.1 percent). Consequently, the Group recorded a net loss from continuing operations excluding goodwill impairment losses of €17 million (2014: net income from continuing operations of €10 million). The net loss attributable to shareholders, which in addition to the net loss from continuing operations includes the losses from discontinued operations, excluding goodwill impairment losses amounted to €28 million (2014: net loss attributable to shareholders of €62 million).

Adidas Group currency-neutral sales increase 10 percent in 2015

In 2015, Group revenues increased 10 percent on a currency-neutral basis, driven by double-digit growth at Adidas and mid-single-digit increases at Reebok. Currency translation effects had a positive impact on sales in euro terms. Group revenues grew 16 percent to €16.915 billion in 2015 from €14.534 billion in 2014. Currency-neutral Adidas revenues grew 12 percent, driven by double-digit sales increases in Western Europe, Greater China, Latin America and MEAA. Currency-neutral Reebok sales were up 6 percent versus the prior year, reflecting double-digit growth in Western Europe, Greater China, Latin America and MEAA. Revenues at TaylorMade-Adidas Golf decreased 13 percent currency-neutral, due to sales declines in all markets except Latin America and MEAA.

Currency-neutral sales grow in most market segments

From a segmental perspective, the combined currency-neutral sales of the Adidas and Reebok brands grew in most market segments. Revenues in Western Europe increased 17 percent on a currency-neutral basis, driven by double-digit sales growth in the UK, Italy, France and Spain. Currency-neutral sales in North America increased 5 percent. Revenues in Greater China grew 18 percent on a currency-neutral basis, while currency-neutral sales in Russia/CIS declined 11 percent. In Latin America, revenues grew 12 percent on a currency-neutral basis, driven by double-digit growth in Argentina, Mexico, Chile, Peru and Colombia. In Japan, sales remained stable on a currency-neutral basis. Revenues in MEAA grew 14 percent on a currency-neutral basis, driven by double-digit growth in South Korea, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey, Israel and Australia.

Revenues in Other Businesses were down 3 percent on a currency-neutral basis. High-single-digit sales increases at Reebok-CCM Hockey and double-digit sales increases in Other centrally managed businesses were more than offset by sales declines at TaylorMade-Adidas Golf.

Group gross margin increases 0.6 percentage points

In 2015, gross profit for the Adidas Group increased 18 percent to €8.168 billion versus €6.924 billion in the prior year. Gross margin of the Adidas Group increased 0.6 percentage points to 48.3 percent (2014: 47.6 percent), driven by a more favourable pricing, channel and product mix at Adidas and Reebok, which more than offset negative currency effects, higher input costs as well as lower product margins at TaylorMade-Adidas Golf.

Other operating expenses as a percentage of sales up 0.4 percentage points due to higher marketing investments

Other operating expenses increased 18 percent to €7.289 billion in 2015 (2014: €6.203 billion) and, as a percentage of sales, grew 0.4 percentage points to 43.1 percent (2014: 42.7 percent). This development was primarily due to an increase in point-of-sale and marketing investments, which increased 22 percent to €2.348 billion in 2015 (2014: €1.923 billion), reflecting the Group’s planned efforts to further strengthen brand desirability. As a result, the Group’s point-of-sale and marketing investments as a percentage of sales increased by 0.6 percentage points to 13.9 percent (2014: 13.2 percent), in line with management’s previous guidance. While operating overhead expenses grew 15 percent to €4.941 billion in 2015 (2014: €4.280 billion), mainly as a result of an increase in costs related to logistics, sales expenditure and central administration, as a percentage of sales, however, operating overhead expenses decreased 0.2 percentage points to 29.2 percent (2014: 29.4 percent).

Operating margin excluding goodwill impairment decreases 0.1 percentage points to 6.5 percent

Group operating profit increased 20 percent to €1.059 billion in 2015 versus €883 million in 2014. The operating margin of the Adidas Group increased 0.2 percentage points to 6.3 percent (2014: 6.1 percent). Excluding the goodwill impairment losses, operating profit grew 14 percent to €1.094 billion from €961 million in 2014, representing an operating margin of 6.5 percent, down 0.1 percentage points from the prior year level (2014: 6.6 percent). This development was due to higher other operating expenses as a percentage of sales, reflecting the significant increase in brand-building investments, which more than offset the increase in the gross margin.

Net income from continuing operations excluding goodwill impairment increases 12 percent

The Group’s tax rate increased 1.5 percentage points to 34.0 percent in 2015 (2014: 32.5 percent). Excluding the goodwill impairment losses, the effective tax rate grew 3.2 percentage points to 32.9 percent from 29.7 percent in 2014, mainly due to the non-recognition of deferred tax assets. The Group’s net income from continuing operations increased 22 percent to €686 million in the full year of 2015 from €564 million in 2014. Excluding the goodwill impairment losses, net income from continuing operations was up 12 percent to €720 million (2014: €642 million).

Losses from discontinued operations total €46 million

In 2015, the Group incurred losses from discontinued operations of €46 million, net of tax, related to the Rockport operating segment (2014: losses of €68 million). Losses from discontinued operations in 2015 were mainly due to the loss from the sale, net of tax, in the amount of €32 million and the loss from Rockport’s operating activities of €13 million.

Net income attributable to shareholders excluding goodwill impairment increases 18 percent

The Group’s net income attributable to shareholders grew 29 percent to €634 million in 2015 from €490 million in 2014. Excluding the goodwill impairment losses, net income attributable to shareholders was up 18 percent to €668 million (2014:€568 million). Basic and diluted EPS from continuing and discontinued operations increased 34 percent to €3.15 in 2015 (2014: €2.35). Excluding the goodwill impairment losses, basic and diluted EPS from continuing and discontinued operations increased 22 percent to €3.32 from €2.72 in 2014. The weighted average number of shares used in the calculation was 201,536,418 (2014: 208,776,457).

Average operating working capital as a percentage of sales decreases to 20.5 percent

Group inventories increased 23 percent to €3.113 billion at the end of December versus €2.526 billion in 2014. On a currency-neutral basis, inventories grew 25 percent, reflecting higher stock levels to support the Group’s top-line momentum. Operating working capital increased 11 percent to €3.138 billion at the end of December 2015 compared to €2.821 billion in 2014. Average operating working capital as a percentage of sales decreased 1.9 percentage points to 20.5 percent (2014: 22.4 percent), reflecting the strong revenue growth in 2015 as well as the company’s continued focus on tight working capital management.

Net borrowings increase to €460 million

Net borrowings at December 31, 2015 amounted to €460 million, compared to net borrowings of €185 million in 2014, representing an increase of €275 million. This development is mainly a result of the utilisation of cash for the share buyback programme in an amount of €301 million. 

Strong top- and bottom-line trends to continue in 2016

Adidas Group sales are expected to increase at a rate between 10 percent and 12 percent on a currency-neutral basis in 2016. The positive sales development will be supported by rising consumer spending, providing a positive backdrop for the continued growth and expansion of the sporting goods industry. In addition, Group sales development will be favourably impacted by the extensive pipeline of new and innovative products, increased brand-building activities and the positive effects from major sporting events, including the UEFA EURO 2016.

In 2016, costs for the Group’s Asian-dominated sourcing are projected to increase as a result of less favourable US dollar hedging rates and rising labour expenditures. However, these negative effects are expected to be largely offset by the positive effects from a more favourable pricing, product and regional mix at both Adidas and Reebok and further enhancements in the Group’s channel mix, driven by the continued expansion of controlled space activities. Higher product margins at TaylorMade-Adidas Golf are also expected to help limit the overall gross margin compression. As a result, the Group gross margin is forecasted to be in a range between 47.3 percent and 47.8 percent and thus only between 50 and 100 basis points below the prior year level (2015: 48.3 percent) despite the significant cost increase.

The Group’s other operating expenses as a percentage of sales are expected to decrease in 2016 compared to the prior year level of 43.1 percent. While expenditure for point-of-sale and marketing investments as a percentage of sales is projected to be around the prior year level (2015: 13.9 percent), operating overhead expenditure as a percentage of sales is forecasted to be below the prior year level (2015: 29.2 percent). Higher administrative and personnel expenses in the Group’s sales and marketing organisation, aimed at supporting the successful execution of ‘Creating the New’, will be offset by significant leverage in other areas.

In 2016, Management expects the operating margin excluding goodwill impairment to remain at least stable compared to the prior year level of 6.5 percent. Lower other operating expenses as a percentage of sales are forecasted to at least offset the decline in gross margin. Net income from continuing operations excluding goodwill impairment is projected to increase at a rate between 10 percent and 12 percent to around €800 million compared to the 2015 level of €720 million.

Management to propose dividend of €1.60

As a result of the stellar operational performance in 2015, the Group’s strong financial position as well as Management’s confidence in the Group’s long-term growth aspirations, the Adidas AG Executive and Supervisory Boards will recommend paying an increased dividend of €1.60 to shareholders at the Annual General Meeting on May 12, 2016 (2014: €1.50). Based on the number of shares outstanding at the end of 2015, the total payout of €320 million (2014: €306 million) reflects a payout ratio of 47.9 percent of net income attributable to shareholders, excluding goodwill impairment losses. The payout ratio for 2015 is at the upper end of the increased target range of between 30 percent and 50 percent of net income attributable to shareholders as defined in the Group’s dividend policy. 

Herbert Hainer stated: “2016 will be another successful stage in our race to becoming the best sports company in the world and achieving the Group’s long-term financial ambition. Our brands are benefiting from the ever-increasing relevance of sport in the lives of people around the globe. Our products are in high demand with consumers in every part of the world. Our order books are full across all major performance and lifestyle categories. And our brands are set to shine at this year’s major sporting events. This gives us every confidence that we will again grow the top and bottom line at a double-digit rate this year.”

Source: http://www.sportsonesource.com/news/spor/spor_article.asp?section=4&Prod=1&id=59861
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